Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Obama v Romney: US election poll tracker

The BBC poll of polls uses the same methodology as the London School of Economics, known as the median smoothing method.

Looking at the five most recent polls it takes the middle value for each candidate, ie, the value which falls between two figures that are higher and two figures that are lower.

ABC/Washington Post

813 LV

+/-4

49

47

29 Sept

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

50

44

28 Sept

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

47

47

19 Sept

Pew Research

2268 LV

+/-2.4

51

43

16 Sept

CBS News/NY Times

1162 LV

+/-4

49

46

12 Sept

Reuters/Ipsos

873 LV

+/-3.4

48

45

10 Sept

ABC News/Wash Post

710 LV

+/-4.5

49

48

9 Sept

CNN/Opinion Research

709 LV

+/-3.5

52

46

9 Sept

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

49

44

9 Sep

CNN/Opinion Research

735 LV

+/-3.5

48

48

3 Sep

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

47

46

1 Sept

ABC News/Wash Post

857 RV

+/-4

46

47

25 Aug

CNN/Opinion Research

719 LV

+/-3.5

49

47

23 Aug

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

45

47

21 Aug

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

46

46

11 Aug

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

47

45

1 Aug

Pew Research

1956 RV

+/-3.2

51

41

26 July

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

46

46

25 July

CBS News/NY Times

942 RV

+/-3

46

47

16 July

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

47

44

11 July

Reuters/Ipsos

885 RV

+/-3.4

49

43

9 July

Pew Research

2373 RV

+/-2.3

50

43

9 July

ABC News/Wash Post

1003 RV

+/-4

47

47

8 July

CNN/Opinion Research

1390 RV

+/-2.5

49

46

1 July

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

48

43

28 Jun

Pew Research

1563 RV

+/-2.9

50

46

17 Jun

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

45

46

14 Jun

Reuters/Ipsos

848 RV

+/-3.4

45

44

11 Jun

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

46

45

8 Jun

Pew Research

2388 RV

+/-2.3

49

42

3 Jun

CNN/Opinion Research

895 RV

+/-3.5

49

46

31 May

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

47

44

30 May

ABC News/Wash Post

874 RV

+/-4

49

46

20 May

Gallup

3050 RV

+/-2

45

46

17 May

CBS News/NY Times

562 RV

+/-4

43

46

13 May

Gallup

3000 RV

+/-2

44

47

9 May

Reuters/Ipsos

959 RV

+/-3.2

49

42

7 May

The data was collated by polling resource website Real Clear Politics. RV indicates those polled were registered voters. LV indicates a sample of likely voters.



Source & Image : BBC

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